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// framework

Wardley Mapping

Simon Wardley, mid-2000s

A strategic map that plots business components by user visibility and evolutionary stage to show what's commoditising, where to invest, and where your current advantage will erode.

// description

A Wardley Map plots the components of a business or value chain on two axes: visibility to the user (vertical) and evolutionary stage of each component (horizontal, from Genesis through Custom-Built and Product to Commodity/Utility). The map reveals which components are evolving, where strategic investments should be made, and where commoditisation will erode competitive advantage.

// history

Simon Wardley, a researcher at the Leading Edge Forum, developed the mapping technique in the mid-2000s while trying to understand why strategic decisions at his company kept failing. He realised that most strategy tools lacked a spatial representation of change over time. He published the methodology openly through blog posts and a free online book, gaining a dedicated following among technology strategists.

// example

A KDP creator maps her business components. At the top (visible to the customer): cover design, interior layout, listing copywriting. At the bottom (infrastructure): KDP account, design software, AI image generation. On the evolution axis: cover design is shifting from Custom (individual freelancer work) toward Product (templates, AI generation) — meaning her competitive advantage from covers will commoditise. But listing copywriting optimised for specific niche keywords sits in Custom territory — few competitors do it well, and it's increasingly important as competition intensifies. The map tells her where to invest her learning: not cover design (commoditising), but listing optimisation and niche positioning (still differentiated).

// katharyne's take

Wardley Mapping is more advanced than most creator businesses need day-to-day, but the underlying concept is genuinely valuable: map what's commoditising in your business and get ahead of it before it erodes your advantage. AI image generation is commoditising Midjourney-style cover design right now — the creators who'll thrive are those who move up the value chain into positioning, niche selection, and customer relationship building before the commodity wave hits their current differentiator. Ask yourself: what am I competing on today that will be a commodity in 18 months? That's your Wardley Map insight without drawing a single line.

// creative uses
// quick actions
// prompt ideas
Help me think through my [KDP / Etsy / creator] business using Wardley Mapping principles. List the key components of my business — from what customers see (cover design, listing copy, product quality) down to infrastructure (tools, platforms, skills). For each component, tell me whether it's in Genesis, Custom, Product, or Commodity stage right now, and what that means for where I should be investing my learning time versus where I should be systematising or outsourcing.
Which skills and capabilities in the [KDP publishing / Etsy digital products / AI art] space are currently in a Custom or Genesis stage — meaning they provide competitive advantage — and which ones are rapidly commoditising due to AI tools or platform features? I want to make sure I'm building skills that will still differentiate me in 18 months, not skills that will be table stakes.
Using Wardley Mapping logic, help me evaluate whether to invest time in learning [name a tool or skill — e.g. Adobe Firefly, video editing, email automation]. Where does this capability sit on the evolution curve for creators in my niche ([describe it])? Is it currently a differentiator, approaching commodity, or already standard — and what does that tell me about the ROI of learning it now?
See also: Value Chain Analysis · Three Horizons of Growth · Scenario Planning
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